The School of OddsSydney Roosters v Parramatta Eels
Head to Head
20 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sydney Roosters (Local)
Prediction 71.02%1.41fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -11.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.43%71.02%70.88%72.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.271.35MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
69.43%1.440Min
72.05%1.388Max
71.02%1.408Mean
70.88%1.411Median
71.02%1.408IQM
70.82%1.412Margin-weighted
Parramatta Eels (Visit)
Prediction 25.39%3.94fair odd
EV -6.05%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%25.39%25.54%26.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.523.583.70MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
24.34%4.108Min
26.69%3.747Max
25.39%3.938Mean
25.54%3.915Median
25.39%3.938IQM
25.53%3.917Margin-weighted
Draw
Prediction 3.58%27.90fair odd
EV +14.70%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.474%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 32.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.88%3.58%3.58%4.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
22.0024.3323.0032.00MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
2.88%34.745Min
4.27%23.407Max
3.58%27.899Mean
3.58%27.958Median
3.58%27.899IQM
3.65%27.407Margin-weighted
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Sydney Roosters (Local) | Parramatta Eels (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52% NM 71.40%EV -8.38% E -6.50% K -28.90% G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93% NM 25.73%EV -9.10% E -2.54% K -3.53% G +0.000% | 32.00I 3.13% NM 2.88%EV +14.70% E +0.459% K +0.474% G +0.070% | 8.6% | 2026-07-09 02:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.20I 83.33% NM 78.20%EV -14.77% E -12.31% K -73.86% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.77%EV +26.96% E +5.39% K +6.74% G +1.82% | 31.00I 3.23% NM 3.03%EV +11.11% E +0.359% K +0.370% G +0.041% | 6.6% | 2026-07-07 05:18 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 71.09%EV -9.80% E -7.72% K -36.30% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.43%EV -9.86% E -2.78% K -3.87% G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85% NM 3.47%EV -6.81% E -0.262% K -0.272% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-09 01:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13% NM 71.57%EV -9.09% E -7.10% K -32.46% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.76%EV -6.05% E -1.63% K -2.24% G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00% NM 3.66%EV -10.39% E -0.416% K -0.433% G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-09 01:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 72.05%EV -11.22% E -8.98% K -44.88% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.34%EV -6.05% E -1.63% K -2.24% G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00% NM 3.60%EV -10.39% E -0.416% K -0.433% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-09 04:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30% NM 70.66%EV -12.64% E -10.28% K -54.96% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.56%EV -13.67% E -4.02% K -5.69% G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35% NM 3.78%EV -17.56% E -0.763% K -0.798% G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-08 15:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07% NM 69.62%EV -4.12% E -3.05% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.11%EV -8.59% E -2.39% K -3.30% G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55% NM 4.27%EV -21.14% E -0.961% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-09 02:25 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07% NM 69.62%EV -4.12% E -3.05% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.11%EV -8.59% E -2.39% K -3.30% G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55% NM 4.27%EV -21.14% E -0.961% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-09 02:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 69.93%EV -11.22% E -8.98% K -44.88% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.09%EV -14.94% E -4.46% K -6.36% G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55% NM 3.97%EV -21.14% E -0.961% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-09 01:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30% NM 69.43%EV -12.64% E -10.28% K -54.96% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 26.69%EV -18.74% E -5.86% K -8.52% G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55% NM 3.88%EV -21.14% E -0.961% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-07-09 01:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92% NM 73.47% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.53% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92% NM 73.47% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.53% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 12:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13% NM 74.30% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.70% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 13:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76% NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 04:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 02:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 23:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 23:55 |
| Casumo | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92% NM 72.92% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 12:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.30I 76.92% NM 72.92% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08% | 5.5% | 2026-07-09 00:19 |
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.35% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.65% | 5.7% | 2026-07-08 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.35% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.65% | 5.7% | 2026-07-08 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92% NM 72.63% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 27.37% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 00:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.34% | 3.68I 27.17% NM 25.66% | 5.9% | 2026-07-08 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.19% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.81% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 12:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13% NM 73.22% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.78% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 23:55 |
| TAB | 1.27I 78.74% NM 73.38% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.62% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 73.59% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.41% | 11.4% | 2026-07-09 04:35 |