语言:简体中文
France v England
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
France (主队)
预测 79.25%1.26公平赔率
EV -4.90%
优势 -4.09%
Kelly -24.52%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
77.64%79.15%79.13%82.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.131.161.171.2088.50%86.12%85.84%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
England (客队)
预测 17.91%5.58公平赔率
EV +15.70%
优势 +2.43%
Kelly +2.87%
增长率 +0.451%
假设最高赔率为 6.46
博彩公司预测分布
14.73%17.96%17.99%19.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.245.156.4621.05%19.07%19.42%15.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 2.84%35.16公平赔率
EV +8.07%
优势 +0.212%
Kelly +0.218%
增长率 +0.018%
假设最高赔率为 38.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.50%2.89%2.88%3.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
26.0032.7234.0038.003.85%3.06%2.94%2.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：France (主队)：79.25%；England (客队)：17.91%；平局：2.84%。 对于“England (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.58。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.46，对应+15.70%的正期望值。
有 12 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.76%EV -8.87%E -7.71%K -59.11%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.73%EV +15.70%E +2.43%K +2.87%G +0.451% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.50%EV +8.07%E +0.212%K +0.218%G +0.018% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.51%EV -9.66%E -8.47%K -68.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +7.46%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.111% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.00%EV -11.84%E -0.382%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.18%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.50%E -0.272%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.76%EV -3.31%E -0.097%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.18%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.50%E -0.272%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.76%EV -3.31%E -0.097%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 17:53 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.67%EV -8.07%E -6.96%K -50.46%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -5.08%E -0.958%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 2.89%EV -8.99%E -0.281%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 19:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.94%EV -8.87%E -7.71%K -59.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -5.97%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.55%EV +2.38%E +0.066%K +0.068%G +0.002% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.74%EV -8.87%E -7.71%K -59.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -6.87%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.62%EV -0.463%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.74%EV -8.87%E -7.71%K -59.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -6.87%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.62%EV -0.463%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.40%EV -8.87%E -7.71%K -59.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -6.87%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.04%EV -14.68%E -0.489%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 05:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.24%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -8.66%E -1.70%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.58%EV +2.38%E +0.066%K +0.068%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.24%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -8.66%E -1.70%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.58%EV +2.38%E +0.066%K +0.068%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.47%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.45%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.17%EV -17.53%E -0.604%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.47%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.45%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.17%EV -17.53%E -0.604%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.47%EV -7.28%E -6.22%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.45%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.17%EV -17.53%E -0.604%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.48%EV -8.87%E -7.71%K -59.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.45%E -2.09%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.47%EV -26.06%E -1.00%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.91%EV -10.45%E -9.25%K -80.40%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.01%EV -11.35%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.07%EV -17.53%E -0.604%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.52%EV -6.49%E -5.50%K -36.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -12.24%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.57%EV +2.38%E +0.066%K +0.068%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -4.90%E -4.09%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -14.93%E -3.14%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.74%EV -3.31%E -0.097%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 20:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.64% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10% | 44.05I 2.27%NM 2.26% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.64% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10% | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.26% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.64% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10% | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.26% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.64% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10% | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.26% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.90% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87% | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.23% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 20:05 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (12)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.27% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.73% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 09:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:30 |