语言:简体中文
England v Ireland
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
England (主队)
预测 75.05%1.33公平赔率
EV -2.44%
优势 -1.88%
Kelly -8.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
71.36%74.77%75.13%76.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.191.241.231.3084.03%80.68%81.63%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ireland (客队)
预测 21.42%4.67公平赔率
EV -3.61%
优势 -0.803%
Kelly -1.03%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
20.52%21.65%21.31%24.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.774.144.004.5026.53%24.14%25.00%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 3.53%28.30公平赔率
EV +6.02%
优势 +0.201%
Kelly +0.208%
增长率 +0.013%
假设最高赔率为 30.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.09%3.57%3.56%4.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
21.0025.0625.0030.004.76%3.99%4.00%3.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：England (主队)：75.05%；Ireland (客队)：21.42%；平局：3.53%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为28.30。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为30.00，对应+6.02%的正期望值。
有 11 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.88%EV -4.69%E -3.69%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -17.54%E -4.55%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.09%EV +6.02%E +0.201%K +0.208%G +0.013% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.30%EV -9.19%E -7.60%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -3.61%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.18%EV +2.49%E +0.086%K +0.089%G +0.002% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 13:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.06%EV -8.44%E -6.92%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.61%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.31%EV -1.04%E -0.037%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.88%EV -3.19%E -2.47%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.62%EV -8.11%E -0.312%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 12:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.03%EV -3.94%E -3.08%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -8.11%E -0.312%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.87%EV -8.44%E -6.92%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.61%E -0.803%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.56%EV -8.11%E -0.312%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -8.44%E -6.92%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -7.90%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53%EV -8.11%E -0.312%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -8.44%E -6.92%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -7.90%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53%EV -8.11%E -0.312%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.82%EV -9.19%E -7.60%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.62%EV -11.65%E -0.466%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.35%EV -9.94%E -8.29%K -49.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -7.90%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.62%EV -11.65%E -0.466%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.14%EV -10.69%E -8.99%K -56.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.33%EV -15.39%E -3.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.53%EV -11.65%E -0.466%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.69%EV -3.94%E -3.08%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV -18.71%E -0.814%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.36%EV -2.44%E -1.88%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.61%EV -19.25%E -5.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV -18.71%E -0.814%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.02%EV -7.69%E -6.25%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.01%EV -18.71%E -0.814%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-20 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.16%EV -6.19%E -4.95%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -18.71%E -0.814%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.16%EV -6.19%E -4.95%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -18.71%E -0.814%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.16%EV -6.19%E -4.95%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -18.71%E -0.814%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.36%EV -8.44%E -6.92%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.26%EV -25.78%E -1.23%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 38.02I 2.63%NM 2.62% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.62% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.62% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.62% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (11)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.54% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 11:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 12:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 06:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 06:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 06:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 06:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 06:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77% | 7.0% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77% | 7.0% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 06:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |