Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wests Tigers v New Zealand Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 03:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Wests Tigers (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -29.85%
Kelly -42.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.08%0.00%0.00%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.3533.33%31.32%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -71.43%
Kelly -250.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%0.00%0.00%71.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.351.4076.92%74.35%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wests Tigers (Local): 0.00%; New Zealand Warriors (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%5.0%2026-08-16 03:17
SportsBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%7.0%2026-08-16 03:40
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%6.0%2026-08-16 03:14
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%5.3%2026-08-16 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%5.3%2026-08-16 03:20
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%5.3%2026-08-16 03:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%5.9%2026-08-16 03:29
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%6.3%2026-08-16 03:00
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%6.3%2026-08-16 02:59
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%4.8%2026-08-11 09:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 30.82%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.18%10.3%2026-08-16 03:35