Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 1.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wests Tigers (Local): 0.00%; Canberra Raiders (Visit): 0.00%.
2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 09:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 05:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 09:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.38% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 09:45 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.44% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.33% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.44% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.33% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 09:40 |