Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sydney Roosters v Parramatta Eels

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 08:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Sydney Roosters (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -99.01%
Kelly -10000.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.27%0.00%0.00%96.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.011.011.0199.01%99.01%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Parramatta Eels (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -3.85%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.74%0.00%0.00%6.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.0019.7821.0026.007.14%5.06%4.76%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney Roosters (Local): 0.00%; Parramatta Eels (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%2.9%2026-08-09 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%3.4%2026-08-04 07:30
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%3.4%2026-08-04 07:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%3.8%2026-08-03 22:59
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%3.8%2026-08-04 01:25
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%5.3%2026-08-03 05:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%6.0%2026-08-03 05:25
PlayUp🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%6.2%2026-08-04 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%3.6%2026-08-09 08:15