Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.05
assuming max odds 11.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney Roosters (Local): 0.00%; Canberra Raiders (Visit): 0.00%.
2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 13:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 09:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 03:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 09:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 09:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 09:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 09:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 09:50 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.37% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.37% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 09:40 |