Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sydney Roosters v Canberra Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 09:52 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Sydney Roosters (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -95.24%
Kelly -2000.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.13%0.00%0.00%91.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.041.041.0597.09%96.15%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Canberra Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -9.09%
Kelly -10.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%0.00%0.00%9.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5010.3510.2511.0010.53%9.66%9.76%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney Roosters (Local): 0.00%; Canberra Raiders (Visit): 0.00%.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%5.2%2026-09-19 13:58
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%5.2%2026-09-26 09:24
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%5.2%2026-09-26 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%5.2%2026-09-26 04:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%5.2%2026-09-26 03:54
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%6.2%2026-09-26 09:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%6.2%2026-09-26 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%6.7%2026-09-26 09:24
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%6.6%2026-09-26 09:40
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%6.6%2026-09-26 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-09-26 09:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%7.8%2026-09-26 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%7.8%2026-09-26 09:40