Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sydney Roosters v Brisbane Broncos

Kickoff: 2026-10-04 05:03 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Sydney Roosters (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -68.03%
Kelly -212.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.17%0.00%0.00%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.441.451.4770.92%69.25%68.97%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brisbane Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -34.48%
Kelly -52.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%0.00%0.00%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.762.752.9037.04%36.17%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney Roosters (Local): 0.00%; Brisbane Broncos (Visit): 0.00%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%4.4%2026-10-03 01:50
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%4.7%2026-10-04 04:55
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%5.3%2026-10-02 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%5.3%2026-10-02 20:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%5.3%2026-09-28 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%5.3%2026-09-28 22:44
TAB🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%5.2%2026-10-04 04:30
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%6.5%2026-09-29 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%7.0%2026-09-29 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%5.4%2026-10-04 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%3.2%2026-10-04 05:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.54%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%11.0%2026-10-04 04:50