Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 2.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney Roosters (Local): 0.00%; Brisbane Broncos (Visit): 0.00%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 01:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 04:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 22:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 04:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.54% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30% | 11.0% | 2026-10-04 04:50 |