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St George Illawarra Dragons v Sydney Roosters

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 03:25 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

St George Illawarra Dragons (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -6.67%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.31%0.00%0.00%7.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0014.0614.5015.008.33%7.11%6.90%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sydney Roosters (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -98.04%
Kelly -5000.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.17%0.00%0.00%93.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0299.01%98.40%98.04%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St George Illawarra Dragons (Local): 0.00%; Sydney Roosters (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%4.7%2026-07-28 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%4.7%2026-07-28 13:59
TAB🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%5.7%2026-08-01 03:10
Dabble (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%5.7%2026-07-28 23:39
Bet Right🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%5.2%2026-07-28 14:04
PlayUp🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%6.2%2026-07-28 14:19
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%6.0%2026-07-29 03:34
SportsBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%6.4%2026-08-01 02:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 10.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.34%6.6%2026-08-01 03:19

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