Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Parramatta Eels v North Queensland Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Parramatta Eels (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -71.43%
Kelly -250.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%0.00%0.00%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.311.4077.52%75.13%76.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Queensland Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -28.57%
Kelly -40.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%0.00%0.00%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.283.453.5035.09%30.44%28.99%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Parramatta Eels (Local): 0.00%; North Queensland Cowboys (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%5.9%2026-09-09 03:23
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%6.5%2026-09-09 08:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%6.4%2026-09-09 06:10
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%5.4%2026-09-09 03:34
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%4.9%2026-09-09 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%5.5%2026-09-08 08:49
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%5.5%2026-09-08 08:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%5.5%2026-09-08 08:35
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%6.5%2026-09-09 03:24
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%6.5%2026-09-09 03:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.