Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Parramatta Eels v Newcastle Knights

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 05:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Parramatta Eels (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -30.03%
Kelly -42.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.08%0.00%0.00%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.083.003.3335.09%32.51%33.33%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Newcastle Knights (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -71.43%
Kelly -250.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%0.00%0.00%71.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.381.4076.92%73.11%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Parramatta Eels (Local): 0.00%; Newcastle Knights (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%7.0%2026-08-02 05:05
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%4.9%2026-08-02 04:55
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%5.9%2026-08-02 05:00
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%5.3%2026-08-02 05:00
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%5.8%2026-08-02 04:05
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%5.3%2026-07-29 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%5.3%2026-07-29 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%5.8%2026-08-01 05:35
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%6.5%2026-07-29 03:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.81%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.19%11.2%2026-08-02 05:10

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