Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Parramatta Eels v Canterbury Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 05:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Parramatta Eels (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -32.47%
Kelly -48.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.32%0.00%0.00%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.862.853.0837.04%34.91%35.09%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Canterbury Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -68.97%
Kelly -222.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%0.00%0.00%69.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.421.4574.63%70.87%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Parramatta Eels (Local): 0.00%; Canterbury Bulldogs (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%7.1%2026-08-15 04:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%4.9%2026-08-11 03:29
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%4.9%2026-08-11 03:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%5.9%2026-08-15 00:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%5.5%2026-08-11 08:34
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%6.5%2026-08-12 06:09
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%6.5%2026-08-12 06:09
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%5.3%2026-08-15 00:09
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%6.0%2026-08-13 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%7.2%2026-08-15 05:10