Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Queensland Cowboys v Newcastle Knights

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 07:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

North Queensland Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -39.22%
Kelly -64.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.35%0.00%0.00%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.5544.44%42.03%42.11%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Newcastle Knights (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -61.73%
Kelly -161.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%0.00%0.00%62.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.561.6265.79%63.57%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Queensland Cowboys (Local): 0.00%; Newcastle Knights (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%5.0%2026-08-29 07:00
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%5.3%2026-08-29 07:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%5.3%2026-08-29 06:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%5.4%2026-08-29 04:25
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%6.2%2026-08-29 07:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%5.1%2026-08-29 04:11
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%5.1%2026-08-29 04:11
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%7.3%2026-08-29 06:50
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%6.2%2026-08-29 01:30
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%6.2%2026-08-29 01:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-29 07:15