Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Newcastle Knights v Canterbury Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 07:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Newcastle Knights (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -83.33%
Kelly -500.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.31%0.00%0.00%82.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.171.171.2086.96%85.23%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Canterbury Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -18.87%
Kelly -23.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.96%0.00%0.00%20.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.914.905.3021.74%20.36%20.41%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newcastle Knights (Local): 0.00%; Canterbury Bulldogs (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-09-01 07:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-09-01 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%6.0%2026-09-02 20:33
Dabble (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%5.5%2026-09-01 02:44
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%5.9%2026-09-04 03:30
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%5.9%2026-09-04 03:30
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%5.1%2026-09-03 11:30
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%6.2%2026-09-04 11:24
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%6.2%2026-09-04 12:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%12.3%2026-09-04 13:05