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New Zealand Warriors v Newcastle Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Zealand Warriors (Local)
assuming max odds 1.74
Newcastle Knights (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Zealand Warriors (Local): 0.00%; Newcastle Knights (Visit): 0.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 07:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 07:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 07:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 07:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 06:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 06:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 06:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43% | 2.8% | 2026-08-08 07:10 |
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