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New Zealand Warriors v Gold Coast Titans

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 03:27 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

New Zealand Warriors (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -38.46%
Kelly -62.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%0.00%0.00%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.472.452.6043.10%40.45%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gold Coast Titans (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -62.50%
Kelly -166.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%0.00%0.00%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.6067.11%65.17%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Zealand Warriors (Local): 0.00%; Gold Coast Titans (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%5.1%2026-08-02 02:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%5.1%2026-08-02 02:49
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%5.0%2026-08-02 03:25
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%7.1%2026-08-02 03:00
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%5.3%2026-08-02 03:20
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%6.2%2026-08-02 03:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%6.2%2026-08-01 20:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%5.1%2026-08-02 02:19
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%6.4%2026-08-02 03:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%3.9%2026-08-02 03:25

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