Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Zealand Warriors v Cronulla Sutherland Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 02:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

New Zealand Warriors (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -80.65%
Kelly -416.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.34%0.00%0.00%81.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.191.2485.47%83.54%83.68%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -19.23%
Kelly -23.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.37%0.00%0.00%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.554.505.2025.00%21.95%22.22%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Zealand Warriors (Local): 0.00%; Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%5.6%2026-09-04 09:13
PlayUp🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%6.3%2026-09-04 11:24
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-09-04 02:55
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-09-04 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%6.1%2026-09-04 03:00
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%6.8%2026-09-04 03:30
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%6.8%2026-09-04 03:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-09-04 06:30
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%4.7%2026-09-01 07:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%4.7%2026-09-01 07:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%14.1%2026-09-04 10:20