Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brisbane Broncos v Sydney Roosters

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 07:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Brisbane Broncos (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -32.26%
Kelly -47.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.80%0.00%0.00%37.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.653.1040.00%36.63%37.74%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sydney Roosters (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -65.79%
Kelly -192.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.65%0.00%0.00%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.481.5272.46%68.82%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brisbane Broncos (Local): 0.00%; Sydney Roosters (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%4.7%2026-08-15 07:15
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%5.8%2026-08-15 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%5.9%2026-08-15 02:29
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%5.5%2026-08-15 07:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%5.3%2026-08-15 06:59
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%5.3%2026-08-15 06:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%5.0%2026-08-11 08:34
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%6.3%2026-08-14 22:45
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%6.3%2026-08-14 22:44
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%7.1%2026-08-15 06:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%5.4%2026-08-15 07:15