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Brisbane Broncos v Newcastle Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brisbane Broncos (Local)
assuming max odds 1.16
Newcastle Knights (Visit)
assuming max odds 6.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brisbane Broncos (Local): 0.00%; Newcastle Knights (Visit): 0.00%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 02:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 01:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 23:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 03:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 03:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 06:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 01:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.36% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64% | 13.1% | 2026-09-16 06:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.86% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.00% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 11:45 |