Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brisbane Broncos v New Zealand Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 02:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Brisbane Broncos (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -86.21%
Kelly -625.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.17%0.00%0.00%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.1689.29%87.64%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -16.67%
Kelly -20.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%0.00%0.00%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.515.586.0020.00%18.13%17.94%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brisbane Broncos (Local): 0.00%; New Zealand Warriors (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%6.2%2026-09-13 01:50
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%6.0%2026-09-12 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%6.2%2026-09-13 00:45
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%6.2%2026-09-12 22:09
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%5.0%2026-09-07 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%5.0%2026-09-07 08:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%5.1%2026-09-13 01:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%5.9%2026-09-13 00:50
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%7.0%2026-09-13 01:50
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%6.0%2026-09-13 01:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%7.5%2026-09-12 23:25