The School of Odds

Wests Tigers v New Zealand Warriors

2026-07-10 10:00 — NRL

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

16 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Wests Tigers (Local)

Odds
2.7536.36%Min
2.9733.70%Mean
3.0033.33%Median
3.1032.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
29.24%3.420Min
31.20%3.205Max
29.94%3.340Mean
30.13%3.319Median
29.94%3.340IQM
30.00%3.333Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.10 under the IQM model: 29.94%

EV -7.18%Edge -2.32%Kelly -3.42%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New Zealand Warriors (Visit)

Odds
1.3275.76%Min
1.3872.46%Mean
1.3872.46%Median
1.4568.97%Max
Consensus probabilities
64.51%1.550Min
67.14%1.489Max
66.05%1.514Mean
66.26%1.509Median
66.05%1.514IQM
65.89%1.518Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.45 under the IQM model: 66.05%

EV -4.22%Edge -2.91%Kelly -9.38%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
18.005.56%Min
22.224.50%Mean
22.004.55%Median
29.003.45%Max
Consensus probabilities
3.18%31.403Min
5.20%19.220Max
4.00%24.974Mean
3.62%27.658Median
4.00%24.974IQM
4.10%24.367Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 29.00 under the IQM model: 4.00%

EV +16.12%Edge +0.556%Kelly +0.576%Growth +0.093%

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWests Tigers (Local)New Zealand Warriors (Visit)Draw ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89% NM 30.38%EV -8.98% E -2.95% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.39I 71.94% NM 66.44%EV -8.18% E -5.89% K -20.99% G +0.000%29.00I 3.45% NM 3.18%EV +16.12% E +0.556% K +0.576% G +0.093%8.3%2026-07-05 13:24
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33% NM 30.65%EV -10.17% E -3.39% K -5.09% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 65.67%EV -7.52% E -5.37% K -18.81% G +0.000%25.00I 4.00% NM 3.68%EV +0.106% E +0.004% K +0.004% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 11:55
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26% NM 29.24%EV -7.18% E -2.32% K -3.42% G +0.000%1.35I 74.07% NM 67.14%EV -10.83% E -8.02% K -30.93% G +0.000%25.00I 4.00% NM 3.63%EV +0.106% E +0.004% K +0.004% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-05 08:39
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90% NM 30.62%EV -11.67% E -3.96% K -5.99% G +0.000%1.38I 72.46% NM 65.45%EV -8.85% E -6.41% K -23.28% G +0.000%23.00I 4.35% NM 3.93%EV -7.90% E -0.344% K -0.359% G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-04 11:55
NetBet (FR)2.87I 34.84% NM 30.26%EV -14.07% E -4.90% K -7.52% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 65.79%EV -12.81% E -9.70% K -40.03% G +0.000%22.00I 4.55% NM 3.95%EV -11.91% E -0.541% K -0.567% G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-05 13:28
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71% NM 31.11%EV -16.16% E -5.77% K -8.98% G +0.000%1.35I 74.07% NM 64.53%EV -10.83% E -8.02% K -30.93% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.36%EV -19.92% E -0.996% K -1.05% G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-04 11:55
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36% NM 31.20%EV -17.66% E -6.42% K -10.09% G +0.000%1.33I 75.19% NM 64.51%EV -12.15% E -9.13% K -36.81% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.29%EV -19.92% E -0.996% K -1.05% G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-04 11:55
Betsson3.10I 32.26% NM 30.21%EV -7.18% E -2.32% K -3.42% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 64.59%EV -4.22% E -2.91% K -9.38% G +0.000%18.00I 5.56% NM 5.20%EV -27.92% E -1.55% K -1.64% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 13:55
NordicBet3.10I 32.26% NM 30.21%EV -7.18% E -2.32% K -3.42% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 64.59%EV -4.22% E -2.91% K -9.38% G +0.000%18.00I 5.56% NM 5.20%EV -27.92% E -1.55% K -1.64% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Neds3.00I 33.33%1.40I 71.43%4.8%2026-07-05 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%1.40I 71.43%4.8%2026-07-05 08:00
SportsBet2.88I 34.72%1.42I 70.42%5.1%2026-07-05 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%1.41I 70.92%5.4%2026-07-05 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%1.41I 70.92%5.4%2026-07-05 12:34
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%1.41I 70.92%5.4%2026-07-05 12:34
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%1.41I 70.92%5.4%2026-07-05 12:35
Casumo2.90I 34.48%1.41I 70.92%5.4%2026-07-05 12:34
TAB2.90I 34.48%1.40I 71.43%5.9%2026-07-05 08:25
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%1.40I 71.43%5.9%2026-07-04 21:59
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%1.40I 71.43%5.9%2026-07-05 06:15
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%1.40I 71.43%6.2%2026-07-05 12:34
Unibet2.88I 34.72%1.40I 71.43%6.2%2026-07-05 12:39
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%1.40I 71.43%6.2%2026-07-05 12:40
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%1.38I 72.46%6.4%2026-07-04 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%1.04I 96.15%34.3%2026-07-05 04:10