默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Wests Tigers v Dolphins

开赛时间: 2026-06-20 05:00 UTC

最终结果: Wests Tigers 22–36 Dolphins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

8 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Wests Tigers (主队)

预测 35.66%2.80公平赔率
EV -3.73%
优势 -1.38%
Kelly -2.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
33.67%35.70%35.66%38.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.522.482.7042.55%39.66%40.24%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Dolphins (客队)

预测 60.57%1.65公平赔率
EV -4.30%
优势 -2.72%
Kelly -7.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.58

博彩公司预测分布
57.75%60.37%60.57%62.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.521.541.5868.97%65.57%65.15%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 3.78%26.49公平赔率
EV +17.03%
优势 +0.549%
Kelly +0.568%
增长率 +0.097%

假设最高赔率为 31.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.97%3.93%3.78%5.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
18.0022.6322.5031.005.56%4.42%4.44%3.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Wests Tigers (主队):35.66%;Dolphins (客队):60.57%;平局:3.78%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为26.49。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为31.00,对应+17.03%的正期望值。

有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (8 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.94%EV -8.54%E -5.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV +17.03%E +0.549%K +0.568%G +0.097%8.7%2026-06-20 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -12.18%E -8.40%K -27.06%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -5.62%E -0.225%K -0.234%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-19 04:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.33%EV -16.21%E -6.90%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.75%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.85%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.92%EV -13.17%E -0.573%K -0.599%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-19 21:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -16.21%E -6.90%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.06%EV -6.72%E -4.37%K -12.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.89%EV -13.17%E -0.573%K -0.599%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-20 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.35%EV -14.42%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.58%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.07%EV -16.95%E -0.770%K -0.807%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 04:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 35.92%EV -13.71%E -5.67%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.94%EV -12.18%E -8.40%K -27.06%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.14%EV -20.72%E -0.987%K -1.04%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-20 04:00
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.77%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -32.05%E -1.78%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 04:50
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.77%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -32.05%E -1.78%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 04:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-06-20 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%3.2%2026-06-20 04:49
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%4.2%2026-06-20 04:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%4.9%2026-06-20 04:50
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%5.1%2026-06-20 04:30
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%5.3%2026-06-20 04:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%5.3%2026-06-19 05:30
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%5.3%2026-06-19 05:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%5.4%2026-06-19 00:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%5.4%2026-06-19 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%5.4%2026-06-20 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%5.4%2026-06-20 04:49
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%5.4%2026-06-20 04:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%5.4%2026-06-20 04:50
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%5.4%2026-06-20 04:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%5.4%2026-06-20 04:49
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%5.4%2026-06-20 04:50
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%5.9%2026-06-19 23:29
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%5.9%2026-06-19 23:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%6.2%2026-06-19 06:50
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%6.7%2026-06-20 04:49