The School of OddsSydney Roosters v Melbourne Storm
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Sydney Roosters (Local)
Odds
1.3772.99%Min
1.4071.30%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.4469.44%Max
Consensus probabilities
62.28%1.606Min
63.94%1.564Max
63.94%1.564Mean
63.94%1.564Median
63.94%1.564IQM
63.94%1.564Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.44 under the IQM model: 63.94%
EV -7.92%Edge -5.50%Kelly -18.00%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Melbourne Storm (Visit)
Odds
2.5539.22%Min
2.6937.17%Mean
2.7037.04%Median
2.8135.59%Max
Consensus probabilities
32.33%3.094Min
33.46%2.989Max
32.77%3.052Mean
32.77%3.052Median
32.77%3.052IQM
32.77%3.052Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.81 under the IQM model: 32.77%
EV -7.92%Edge -2.82%Kelly -4.38%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
19.005.26%Min
22.504.44%Mean
21.504.65%Median
28.003.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
3.29%30.409Min
4.53%22.076Max
3.29%30.409Mean
3.29%30.409Median
3.29%30.409IQM
3.29%30.409Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 28.00 under the IQM model: 3.29%
EV -7.92%Edge -0.283%Kelly -0.293%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Sydney Roosters (Local) ▼ | Melbourne Storm (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 63.94%EV -7.92% E -5.50% K -18.00% G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59% NM 32.77%EV -7.92% E -2.82% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57% NM 3.29%EV -7.92% E -0.283% K -0.293% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-08 04:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 63.74%EV -9.20% E -6.48% K -21.91% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 32.33%EV -8.25% E -2.95% K -4.58% G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35% NM 3.94%EV -24.36% E -1.06% K -1.11% G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-08 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 62.37%EV -11.76% E -8.52% K -30.94% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 33.10%EV -14.80% E -5.69% K -9.25% G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26% NM 4.53%EV -37.52% E -1.97% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-07-08 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99% NM 62.28%EV -12.40% E -9.05% K -33.51% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 33.46%EV -16.44% E -6.45% K -10.61% G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00% NM 4.27%EV -34.23% E -1.71% K -1.80% G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-07-08 19:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49% NM 65.07% | 2.72I 36.76% NM 34.93% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 04:50 |