Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sydney Roosters v Canterbury Bulldogs

2026-08-07 10:00 UTC — NRL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

64%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sydney Roosters (Local)

Prediction 63.94%1.56fair odd

EV -7.93%

Edge -5.50%

Kelly -18.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.85%63.94%63.94%64.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.401.391.4473.53%71.68%71.94%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Canterbury Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 32.65%3.06fair odd

EV -6.95%

Edge -2.44%

Kelly -3.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.79%32.65%32.65%32.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.732.732.8538.46%36.63%36.56%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 3.41%29.32fair odd

EV -7.93%

Edge -0.294%

Kelly -0.305%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 27.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.41%3.41%3.41%4.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

19.0022.2521.5027.005.26%4.49%4.65%3.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Marathon Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -7.93%E -5.50%K -18.02%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 32.65%EV -7.93%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%	27.00I 3.70%NM 3.41%EV -7.93%E -0.294%K -0.305%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-29 05:24
Winamax (DE)	1.41I 70.92%NM 64.27%EV -9.84%E -6.98%K -24.01%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 3.94%EV -21.57%E -0.938%K -0.980%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-07-29 05:54
Unibet (FR)	1.37I 72.99%NM 62.93%EV -12.40%E -9.05%K -33.52%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 32.53%EV -13.48%E -5.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 4.54%EV -35.21%E -1.85%K -1.96%G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-07-29 05:55
Winamax (FR)	1.36I 73.53%NM 62.85%EV -13.04%E -9.59%K -36.23%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 32.88%EV -15.11%E -5.81%K -9.44%G +0.000%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.27%EV -31.80%E -1.59%K -1.67%G +0.000%	17.0%	2026-07-29 05:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
SportsBet	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%	5.1%	2026-07-29 05:19