Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St George Illawarra Dragons v Parramatta Eels

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 03:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (0 in analysis )

St George Illawarra Dragons (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -52.08%
Kelly -108.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%0.00%0.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.921.921.921.9252.08%52.08%52.08%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Parramatta Eels (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -52.08%
Kelly -108.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%0.00%0.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.921.921.921.9252.08%52.08%52.08%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St George Illawarra Dragons (Local): 0.00%; Parramatta Eels (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%4.2%2026-07-05 12:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.