赔率学院简体中文
Penrith Panthers v Melbourne Storm
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Penrith Panthers (主队)
预测 68.22%1.47公平赔率
EV -7.90%
优势 -5.85%
Kelly -22.56%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.35
博彩公司预测分布
33.33%68.51%68.22%70.45%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.001.281.321.35100.00%77.92%75.76%74.07%MIN均值中位数MAX
Melbourne Storm (客队)
预测 28.56%3.50公平赔率
EV +2.81%
优势 +0.780%
Kelly +1.08%
增长率 +0.030%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.83%28.28%28.56%33.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.003.043.203.60100.00%32.93%31.25%27.78%MIN均值中位数MAX
平局
预测 3.22%31.08公平赔率
EV +15.85%
优势 +0.440%
Kelly +0.453%
增长率 +0.072%
假设最高赔率为 36.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.52%3.21%3.22%33.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.0023.8925.0036.00100.00%4.19%4.00%2.78%MIN均值中位数MAX
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (9 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.17%EV -10.63%E -8.11%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.52%EV +15.85%E +0.440%K +0.453%G +0.072% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -11.31%E -8.70%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -10.04%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.64%EV +9.41%E +0.277%K +0.285%G +0.027% | 11.6% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.18%EV -7.90%E -5.85%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.94%EV -9.19%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 2.88%EV +2.98%E +0.093%K +0.096%G +0.003% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 08:59 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.45%EV -9.94%E -7.53%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV +2.81%E +0.780%K +1.08%G +0.030% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.72%EV -19.55%E -0.782%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.49%EV -7.90%E -5.85%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.59%EV -19.55%E -0.782%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-03 08:58 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.26%E -6.96%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -32.42%E -1.54%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.26%E -6.96%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -32.42%E -1.54%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.65%EV -14.04%E -11.14%K -53.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.32%EV -35.64%E -1.78%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%EV -31.78%E -31.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%EV -71.44%E -71.44%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%EV -96.78%E -96.78%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 200.0% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 08:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 08:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 08:58 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 09:00 |