The School of OddsPenrith Panthers v Brisbane Broncos
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Penrith Panthers (Local)
Odds
1.1289.29%Min
1.1586.96%Mean
1.1487.72%Median
1.2083.33%Max
Consensus probabilities
76.22%1.312Min
78.55%1.273Max
76.74%1.303Mean
76.74%1.303Median
76.74%1.303IQM
76.74%1.303Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.20 under the IQM model: 76.74%
EV -7.91%Edge -6.59%Kelly -39.53%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Brisbane Broncos (Visit)
Odds
4.3023.26%Min
4.5022.22%Mean
4.4022.73%Median
4.9020.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
18.44%5.424Min
20.47%4.886Max
20.47%4.886Mean
20.47%4.886Median
20.47%4.886IQM
20.47%4.886Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.90 under the IQM model: 20.47%
EV +0.279%Edge +0.057%Kelly +0.072%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
23.004.35%Min
27.753.60%Mean
27.503.64%Median
33.003.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
2.79%35.833Min
3.74%26.703Max
2.79%35.833Mean
2.79%35.833Median
2.79%35.833IQM
2.79%35.833Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 33.00 under the IQM model: 2.79%
EV -7.91%Edge -0.240%Kelly -0.247%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Penrith Panthers (Local) | Brisbane Broncos (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96% NM 78.55%EV -11.74% E -10.21% K -78.29% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 18.44%EV +0.279% E +0.057% K +0.072% G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33% NM 3.01%EV -16.28% E -0.543% K -0.561% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-08 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.20I 83.33% NM 76.74%EV -7.91% E -6.59% K -39.53% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.47%EV -7.91% E -1.76% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 33.00I 3.03% NM 2.79%EV -7.91% E -0.240% K -0.247% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50% NM 76.22%EV -13.28% E -11.75% K -102.15% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 20.03%EV -12.00% E -2.79% K -3.64% G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35% NM 3.74%EV -35.81% E -1.56% K -1.63% G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-07-08 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.12I 89.29% NM 76.61%EV -14.05% E -12.54% K -117.05% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 19.95%EV -12.00% E -2.79% K -3.64% G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00% NM 3.43%EV -30.23% E -1.21% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-07-08 18:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75% NM 80.75% | 4.95I 20.20% NM 19.25% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 04:45 |