赔率学院Parramatta Eels v Melbourne Storm
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Parramatta Eels (主队)
预测 29.17%3.43公平赔率
EV -3.75%
优势 -1.14%
Kelly -1.63%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.13%28.98%29.17%30.10%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.153.133.3033.33%31.73%31.95%30.30%MIN均值中位数MAX
Melbourne Storm (客队)
预测 67.60%1.48公平赔率
EV -8.06%
优势 -5.93%
Kelly -22.39%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.36
博彩公司预测分布
66.53%67.52%67.60%68.77%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.341.351.351.3674.63%74.07%74.07%73.53%MIN均值中位数MAX
平局
预测 3.23%30.93公平赔率
EV +16.38%
优势 +0.455%
Kelly +0.468%
增长率 +0.077%
假设最高赔率为 36.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.51%3.50%3.23%4.49%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
20.0028.8330.0036.005.00%3.47%3.33%2.78%MIN均值中位数MAX
有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (6 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.39%EV -9.41%E -7.02%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.51%EV +16.38%E +0.455%K +0.468%G +0.077% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Betsson | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.77%EV -8.74%E -6.47%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.09%EV -3.01%E -0.100%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.77%EV -8.74%E -6.47%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.09%EV -3.01%E -0.100%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.16%EV -7.84%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.76%EV -8.06%E -5.93%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.07%EV -3.01%E -0.100%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 09:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -11.05%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.00%EV -8.74%E -6.47%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.35%EV -12.71%E -0.471%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.59%E -3.09%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.53%EV -8.74%E -6.47%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.49%EV -35.34%E -1.77%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 09:44 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 09:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| TAB | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| SportsBet | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:44 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 09:45 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 09:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 09:40 |