Language:English
Parramatta Eels v Canterbury Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Parramatta Eels (Local)
assuming max odds 4.60
Canterbury Bulldogs (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.28
Draw
assuming max odds 33.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Parramatta Eels (Local): 22.18%; Canterbury Bulldogs (Visit): 74.51%; Draw: 3.31%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 30.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 33.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.25%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.84%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.33%EV -9.10%E -7.46%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.79%EV +9.25%E +0.280%K +0.289%G +0.027% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 06:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.31%EV -9.10%E -7.46%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.02%EV -0.683%E -0.023%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 06:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -16.82%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.95%EV -12.82%E -10.96%K -75.44%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 2.98%EV -3.99%E -0.138%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.07%EV -7.61%E -6.14%K -31.70%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53%EV -13.93%E -0.536%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV +2.03%E +0.441%K +0.564%G +0.011% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.66%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.78%EV -17.24%E -0.689%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 06:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV +2.03%E +0.441%K +0.564%G +0.011% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.66%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.78%EV -17.24%E -0.689%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 06:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -13.50%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.12%EV -7.61%E -6.14%K -31.70%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.63%EV -17.24%E -0.689%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.04%EV -10.17%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.39%EV -10.59%E -8.82%K -52.95%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.57%EV -17.24%E -0.689%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 06:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -16.82%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.58%EV -4.63%E -3.62%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -23.86%E -1.04%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -16.82%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.58%EV -4.63%E -3.62%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -23.86%E -1.04%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 06:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 06:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 06:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 06:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 06:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 05:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 06:05 |