赔率学院Newcastle Knights v Penrith Panthers
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Newcastle Knights (主队)
预测 22.93%4.36公平赔率
EV -3.70%
优势 -0.881%
Kelly -1.16%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
21.51%22.93%22.67%24.43%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.753.963.854.2026.67%25.28%25.97%23.81%MIN均值中位数MAX
Penrith Panthers (客队)
预测 73.51%1.36公平赔率
EV -5.91%
优势 -4.62%
Kelly -21.12%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.28
博彩公司预测分布
71.58%73.51%73.69%75.27%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.171.241.251.2885.47%80.72%80.00%78.13%MIN均值中位数MAX
平局
预测 3.57%28.04公平赔率
EV +17.69%
优势 +0.536%
Kelly +0.553%
增长率 +0.098%
假设最高赔率为 33.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.80%3.57%3.64%4.27%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
22.0024.8924.0033.004.55%4.02%4.17%3.03%MIN均值中位数MAX
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (9 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.63%EV -8.85%E -7.14%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.80%EV +17.69%E +0.536%K +0.553%G +0.098% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.27%EV -11.79%E -9.83%K -58.97%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.23%EV -0.143%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.52%EV -8.12%E -6.49%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.63%EV -10.84%E -0.434%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 06:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.47%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.93%EV -14.00%E -11.96%K -82.35%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.60%EV -14.41%E -0.600%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.49%EV -14.00%E -11.96%K -82.35%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.58%EV -14.41%E -0.600%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Coral | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.58%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -17.97%E -0.782%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.58%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -17.97%E -0.782%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 08:00 |
| Betsson | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.37%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -21.54%E -0.979%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| NordicBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.37%EV -5.91%E -4.62%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -21.54%E -0.979%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-24 03:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| SportsBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| TAB | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 02:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.85% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.15% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Pinnacle | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.57% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 01:44 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |