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New Zealand Warriors v Wests Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Zealand Warriors (Local)
assuming max odds 1.20
Wests Tigers (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.60
Draw
assuming max odds 35.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Zealand Warriors (Local): 79.23%; Wests Tigers (Visit): 17.93%; Draw: 2.84%. For Wests Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.407%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.49%EV -7.31%E -6.24%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV +0.407%E +0.073%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.69%EV -0.455%E -0.013%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.49%EV -7.31%E -6.24%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV +0.407%E +0.073%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.69%EV -0.455%E -0.013%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.34%EV -11.27%E -10.06%K -93.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -3.18%E -0.589%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.00%EV -14.68%E -0.489%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.09%EV -11.27%E -10.06%K -93.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -4.97%E -0.938%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 2.99%EV -14.68%E -0.489%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -6.51%E -5.52%K -36.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.63%EV -0.455%E -0.013%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.49%EV -7.31%E -6.24%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -13.94%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.63%EV -28.90%E -1.16%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 06:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.17%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -19.32%E -4.29%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.52%EV -26.05%E -1.00%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.17%EV -4.93%E -4.11%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -19.32%E -4.29%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.52%EV -26.05%E -1.00%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.03% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.97% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 06:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 06:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 07:00 |