赔率学院Melbourne Storm v Newcastle Knights
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Melbourne Storm (主队)
预测 56.19%1.78公平赔率
EV -4.47%
优势 -2.63%
Kelly -6.39%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.70
博彩公司预测分布
55.47%56.46%56.19%58.03%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.551.621.601.7064.52%61.84%62.50%58.82%MIN均值中位数MAX
Newcastle Knights (客队)
预测 39.85%2.51公平赔率
EV -4.36%
优势 -1.82%
Kelly -3.12%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.40
博彩公司预测分布
37.48%39.51%39.85%40.91%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.152.292.252.4046.51%43.61%44.44%41.67%MIN均值中位数MAX
平局
预测 3.96%25.26公平赔率
EV +22.71%
优势 +0.733%
Kelly +0.757%
增长率 +0.172%
假设最高赔率为 31.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.97%4.03%3.96%5.24%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
18.0023.2924.0031.005.56%4.29%4.17%3.23%MIN均值中位数MAX
有 21 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (7 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.12%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.34%E -4.60%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV +22.71%E +0.733%K +0.757%G +0.172% | 8.6% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -10.09%E -6.31%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.34%E -4.60%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.47%EV +2.92%E +0.112%K +0.117%G +0.003% | 10.8% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.21%EV -11.22%E -7.10%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -12.33%E -5.61%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.42%EV +2.92%E +0.112%K +0.117%G +0.003% | 12.6% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.01%EV -12.90%E -8.32%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.38%EV -14.33%E -6.66%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.62%EV -5.00%E -0.208%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-06-05 07:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -12.90%E -8.32%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.48%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.50%EV -20.83%E -1.04%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -28.75%E -1.60%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -4.36%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -28.75%E -1.60%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (21)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07% | 3.4% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21% | 4.1% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62% | 4.5% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62% | 4.5% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46% | 4.7% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31% | 5.1% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51% | 5.1% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51% | 5.1% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18% | 5.6% | 2026-06-05 07:58 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18% | 5.6% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72% | 6.8% | 2026-06-05 07:59 |