The School of OddsMelbourne Storm v Gold Coast Titans
Head to Head
16 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Melbourne Storm (Local)
Odds
1.2878.13%Min
1.3574.07%Mean
1.3574.07%Median
1.4270.42%Max
Consensus probabilities
66.26%1.509Min
68.35%1.463Max
67.01%1.492Mean
67.14%1.489Median
67.01%1.492IQM
66.93%1.494Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.42 under the IQM model: 67.01%
EV -4.84%Edge -3.41%Kelly -11.53%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Gold Coast Titans (Visit)
Odds
2.9533.90%Min
3.1631.70%Mean
3.1731.55%Median
3.3030.30%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.96%3.576Min
29.30%3.413Max
29.01%3.446Mean
29.24%3.420Median
29.01%3.446IQM
28.95%3.454Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 29.01%
EV -4.25%Edge -1.29%Kelly -1.85%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
18.005.56%Min
22.634.42%Mean
22.504.44%Median
30.003.33%Max
Consensus probabilities
3.07%32.613Min
5.23%19.131Max
3.97%25.170Mean
3.63%27.583Median
3.97%25.170IQM
4.12%24.274Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 30.00 under the IQM model: 3.97%
EV +19.19%Edge +0.640%Kelly +0.662%Growth +0.127%
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Melbourne Storm (Local) | Gold Coast Titans (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 67.64%EV -8.86% E -6.52% K -24.62% G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85% NM 29.30%EV -8.89% E -2.83% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33% NM 3.07%EV +19.19% E +0.640% K +0.662% G +0.127% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07% NM 68.35%EV -9.53% E -7.06% K -27.24% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.96%EV -4.25% E -1.29% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00% NM 3.69%EV -0.676% E -0.027% K -0.028% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 08:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07% NM 67.14%EV -9.53% E -7.06% K -27.24% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.24%EV -10.05% E -3.24% K -4.79% G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00% NM 3.63%EV -0.676% E -0.027% K -0.028% G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19% NM 67.98%EV -10.87% E -8.18% K -32.95% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.25%EV -7.15% E -2.24% K -3.25% G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17% NM 3.77%EV -4.65% E -0.194% K -0.202% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13% NM 66.90%EV -14.22% E -11.11% K -50.80% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 29.03%EV -14.41% E -4.88% K -7.39% G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76% NM 4.08%EV -16.57% E -0.789% K -0.828% G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-07-05 08:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 66.59%EV -13.55% E -10.51% K -46.74% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 29.12%EV -14.41% E -4.88% K -7.39% G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00% NM 4.29%EV -20.54% E -1.03% K -1.08% G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-07-05 07:55 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42% NM 66.26%EV -4.84% E -3.41% K -11.53% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.51%EV -4.25% E -1.29% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56% NM 5.23%EV -28.49% E -1.58% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42% NM 66.26%EV -4.84% E -3.41% K -11.53% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.51%EV -4.25% E -1.29% K -1.85% G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56% NM 5.23%EV -28.49% E -1.58% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43% | 3.00I 33.33% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% | 3.00I 33.33% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07% | 3.23I 30.96% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 03:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53% | 3.10I 32.26% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53% | 3.10I 32.26% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53% | 3.10I 32.26% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53% | 3.10I 32.26% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53% | 3.10I 32.26% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53% | 3.10I 32.26% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 12:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53% | 3.10I 32.26% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46% | 3.00I 33.33% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 06:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07% | 3.15I 31.75% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 09:10 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63% | 3.20I 31.25% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53% | 3.05I 32.79% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 22:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53% | 3.05I 32.79% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.02I 98.04% | 1.02I 98.04% | 96.1% | 2026-07-04 07:55 |