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Gold Coast Titans v St George Illawarra Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gold Coast Titans (Local)
assuming max odds 1.88
St George Illawarra Dragons (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.10
Draw
assuming max odds 29.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gold Coast Titans (Local): 50.11%; St George Illawarra Dragons (Visit): 45.59%; Draw: 4.31%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 23.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 29.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.91%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -7.80%E -4.24%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.18%EV +24.91%E +0.859%K +0.890%G +0.222% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -10.81%E -6.07%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.11%EV -5.24%E -0.238%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-27 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.95%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.35%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 10:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.95%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.35%EV -9.55%E -0.455%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.23%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.52%EV -13.85%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.51%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.19%EV -13.39%E -7.05%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.29%EV -13.85%E -0.693%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-27 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.31%EV -12.31%E -7.04%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.15%EV -14.76%E -7.89%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.54%EV -18.16%E -0.956%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-27 04:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.77%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -22.47%E -1.25%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.77%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV -22.47%E -1.25%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 16:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 04:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 18:58 |
| Bet365 (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 00:46 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 22:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 03:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 10:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 10:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 05:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:11 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-03-26 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-03-25 06:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 04:05 |