Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gold Coast Titans v North Queensland Cowboys

2026-08-06 09:50 UTC — NRL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

38%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gold Coast Titans (Local)

Prediction 37.53%2.66fair odd

EV -7.68%

Edge -3.12%

Kelly -5.26%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.79%37.53%37.53%37.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.382.382.4643.48%42.06%42.11%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Queensland Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 59.18%1.69fair odd

EV -7.68%

Edge -4.93%

Kelly -13.72%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.22%59.18%59.18%59.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.471.511.501.5668.03%66.33%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 3.30%30.33fair odd

EV -7.68%

Edge -0.274%

Kelly -0.285%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 28.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.30%3.30%3.30%4.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

20.0023.0022.0028.005.00%4.35%4.55%3.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Marathon Bet	2.46I 40.65%NM 37.53%EV -7.68%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -7.68%E -4.93%K -13.72%G +0.000%	28.00I 3.57%NM 3.30%EV -7.68%E -0.274%K -0.285%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-29 05:50
Winamax (DE)	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.79%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -10.05%E -6.61%K -19.33%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 3.92%EV -24.17%E -1.05%K -1.10%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-07-29 05:19
Unibet (FR)	2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 58.22%EV -12.42%E -8.39%K -25.87%G +0.000%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.31%EV -34.06%E -1.70%K -1.79%G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-07-29 05:19
Winamax (FR)	2.30I 43.48%NM 37.40%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 58.51%EV -13.01%E -8.85%K -27.68%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.10%EV -30.76%E -1.46%K -1.54%G +0.000%	16.3%	2026-07-29 05:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
SportsBet	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%	5.0%	2026-07-29 05:19