The School of Odds

Gold Coast Titans v Manly Warringah Sea Eagles

2026-07-19 04:00 — NRL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Gold Coast Titans (Local)

2.2544.44%Min
2.3642.28%Mean
2.3542.55%Median
2.5139.84%Max
36.67%2.727Min
38.06%2.627Max
36.67%2.727Mean
36.67%2.727Median
36.67%2.727IQM
36.67%2.727Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.51 under the IQM model: 36.67%

EV -7.96%Edge -3.17%Kelly -5.27%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (Visit)

1.4867.57%Min
1.5166.33%Mean
1.5066.45%Median
1.5464.94%Max
57.86%1.728Min
60.16%1.662Max
60.16%1.662Mean
60.16%1.662Median
60.16%1.662IQM
60.16%1.662Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.54 under the IQM model: 60.16%

EV -7.36%Edge -4.78%Kelly -13.63%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

20.005.00%Min
23.254.30%Mean
22.004.55%Median
29.003.45%Max
3.17%31.508Min
4.31%23.209Max
3.17%31.508Mean
3.17%31.508Median
3.17%31.508IQM
3.17%31.508Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 29.00 under the IQM model: 3.17%

EV -7.96%Edge -0.274%Kelly -0.284%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGold Coast Titans (Local) ▼Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84% NM 36.67%EV -7.96% E -3.17% K -5.27% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 60.16%EV -7.96% E -5.20% K -15.02% G +0.000%29.00I 3.45% NM 3.17%EV -7.96% E -0.274% K -0.284% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 17:40
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -11.99% E -5.00% K -8.57% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 58.53%EV -7.36% E -4.78% K -13.63% G +0.000%23.00I 4.35% NM 3.92%EV -27.00% E -1.17% K -1.23% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-08 18:24
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 37.47%EV -15.66% E -6.81% K -12.05% G +0.000%1.48I 67.57% NM 58.22%EV -10.97% E -7.41% K -22.85% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.31%EV -36.52% E -1.83% K -1.92% G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-08 18:24
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44% NM 38.06%EV -17.49% E -7.78% K -14.00% G +0.000%1.48I 67.57% NM 57.86%EV -10.97% E -7.41% K -22.85% G +0.000%21.00I 4.76% NM 4.08%EV -33.35% E -1.59% K -1.67% G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-08 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
SportsBet2.61I 38.31% NM 36.50%1.50I 66.67% NM 63.50%5.0%2026-07-08 04:54