Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gold Coast Titans v Dolphins

2026-09-04 08:00 UTC — NRL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

26%

71%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gold Coast Titans (Local)

Prediction 25.73%3.89fair odd

EV -4.81%

Edge -1.30%

Kelly -1.78%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.38%25.73%25.73%25.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.353.503.463.7029.85%28.61%28.86%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 71.40%1.40fair odd

EV -7.90%

Edge -6.12%

Kelly -27.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.14%71.40%71.40%72.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.221.251.241.2981.97%80.16%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 2.88%34.74fair odd

EV -7.90%

Edge -0.247%

Kelly -0.255%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 32.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.88%2.88%2.88%4.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

21.0025.2524.0032.004.76%3.96%4.17%3.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gold Coast Titans (Local): 25.73%; Dolphins (Visit): 71.40%; Draw: 2.88%. For Gold Coast Titans (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -4.81%; they do not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.15%EV -10.76%E -8.60%K -43.02%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.47%EV -25.17%E -0.968%K -1.01%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-26 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯	3.58I 27.93%NM 25.73%EV -7.90%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -7.90%E -6.12%K -27.24%G +0.000%	32.00I 3.13%NM 2.88%EV -7.90%E -0.247%K -0.255%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-26 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75%EV -13.82%E -4.12%K -5.88%G +0.000%	1.23I 81.30%NM 70.14%EV -12.18%E -9.91%K -52.97%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.11%EV -39.56%E -1.88%K -1.98%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-08-26 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -13.82%E -4.12%K -5.88%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 70.44%EV -12.90%E -10.57%K -58.62%G +0.000%	22.00I 4.55%NM 3.91%EV -36.68%E -1.67%K -1.75%G +0.000%	16.4%	2026-08-26 14:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
SportsBet🎯	3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%	5.1%	2026-08-26 06:18