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Gold Coast Titans v Brisbane Broncos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gold Coast Titans (Local)
assuming max odds 4.20
Brisbane Broncos (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.28
Draw
assuming max odds 34.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gold Coast Titans (Local): 22.51%; Brisbane Broncos (Visit): 74.38%; Draw: 3.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 32.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 34.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.62%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.83%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.48%EV -7.77%E -6.26%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.72%EV +5.62%E +0.165%K +0.170%G +0.010% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.96%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.31%EV -9.25%E -7.58%K -42.06%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.02%EV -6.81%E -0.227%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -7.71%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.80%EV -10.00%E -8.26%K -47.60%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.12%EV -9.91%E -0.342%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.24%EV -12.21%E -3.13%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.77%EV -13.72%E -11.82%K -85.72%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 2.99%EV -9.91%E -0.342%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-04 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.96%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -10.74%E -8.95%K -53.70%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.19%EV -13.02%E -0.465%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -5.46%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.37%EV -4.79%E -3.74%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -31.66%E -1.44%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -5.46%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.37%EV -4.79%E -3.74%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -31.66%E -1.44%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 08:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.96%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.89%EV -7.02%E -5.62%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.34%EV -34.76%E -1.66%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 00:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.96%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.89%EV -7.02%E -5.62%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.34%EV -34.76%E -1.66%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 08:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.35% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.65% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 08:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 08:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 08:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 05:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 05:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 05:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 05:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 05:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 05:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 05:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 03:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 05:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 05:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |