赔率学院

Dolphins v Penrith Panthers

开赛时间: 2026-04-17 10:00 UTC

最终结果: Dolphins 22–23 Penrith Panthers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

10 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Dolphins (主队)

预测 23.88%4.19公平赔率
EV +0.276%
优势 +0.066%
Kelly +0.086%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
21.69%23.63%23.88%24.81%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.703.873.804.2027.03%25.86%26.32%23.81%MIN均值中位数MAX

Penrith Panthers (客队)

预测 72.88%1.37公平赔率
EV -3.79%
优势 -2.87%
Kelly -11.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.32

博彩公司预测分布
71.42%73.17%72.88%74.67%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.181.251.231.3284.75%80.26%80.97%75.76%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 3.24%30.85公平赔率
EV +23.16%
优势 +0.610%
Kelly +0.626%
增长率 +0.145%

假设最高赔率为 38.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.37%3.20%3.24%3.98%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
23.0028.3025.0038.004.35%3.53%4.00%2.63%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (10 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.90%EV -11.08%E -9.08%K -50.37%G +0.000%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.37%EV +23.16%E +0.610%K +0.626%G +0.145%10.9%2026-04-17 04:25
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.57%EV -11.08%E -9.08%K -50.37%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.49%EV +16.68%E +0.463%K +0.477%G +0.079%11.4%2026-04-17 04:24
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.66%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.17%EV -11.08%E -9.08%K -50.37%G +0.000%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.71%EV +6.96%E +0.211%K +0.217%G +0.015%12.0%2026-04-17 09:49
Marathon Bet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.09%EV -8.80%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.03%EV -8.17%E -6.48%K -31.41%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.88%EV +3.72%E +0.116%K +0.120%G +0.004%8.7%2026-04-17 09:09
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.42%EV -3.79%E -2.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.77%EV -18.97%E -0.759%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 09:09
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.42%EV -3.79%E -2.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.77%EV -18.97%E -0.759%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 09:09
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +0.276%E +0.066%K +0.086%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.67%EV -11.08%E -9.08%K -50.37%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -18.97%E -0.759%K -0.791%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 06:24
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.16%EV -8.90%E -7.12%K -35.58%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -25.45%E -1.11%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 08:09
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.16%EV -8.90%E -7.12%K -35.58%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -25.45%E -1.11%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 08:00
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.80%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 73.43%EV -14.00%E -11.86%K -77.76%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.77%EV -25.45%E -1.11%K -1.16%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-17 09:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-04-17 09:49
BetOnline.ag3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.27%4.2%2026-04-17 09:49
Pinnacle3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%4.5%2026-04-17 09:49
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%4.7%2026-04-17 09:50
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%4.7%2026-04-17 08:59
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%5.0%2026-04-17 09:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%5.0%2026-04-17 09:35
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%5.0%2026-04-17 09:34
PlayUp3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%5.1%2026-04-17 09:49
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%5.2%2026-04-17 06:39
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%5.2%2026-04-17 06:39
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%5.2%2026-04-17 06:39
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%5.2%2026-04-17 06:39
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%5.2%2026-04-17 06:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%5.2%2026-04-17 06:39
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%5.2%2026-04-17 06:39
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%5.3%2026-04-17 09:50
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%5.5%2026-04-17 09:49
PointsBet (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%6.0%2026-04-17 09:50
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%6.1%2026-04-17 06:39
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%6.1%2026-04-17 06:39
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 27.73%1.17I 85.47%NM 72.27%18.3%2026-04-17 09:49