The School of Odds

Dolphins v North Queensland Cowboys

2026-07-19 06:05 — NRL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Dolphins (Local)

1.3772.99%Min
1.4171.17%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.4568.97%Max
62.37%1.603Min
63.74%1.569Max
63.48%1.575Mean
63.48%1.575Median
63.48%1.575IQM
63.48%1.575Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.45 under the IQM model: 63.48%

EV -7.95%Edge -5.48%Kelly -17.67%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: North Queensland Cowboys (Visit)

2.6038.46%Min
2.6937.14%Mean
2.6937.24%Median
2.8035.71%Max
32.33%3.094Min
33.23%3.009Max
33.23%3.009Mean
33.23%3.009Median
33.23%3.009IQM
33.23%3.009Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.80 under the IQM model: 33.23%

EV -6.95%Edge -2.48%Kelly -3.86%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

19.005.26%Min
22.504.44%Mean
21.504.65%Median
28.003.57%Max
3.29%30.419Min
4.53%22.076Max
3.29%30.419Mean
3.29%30.419Median
3.29%30.419IQM
3.29%30.419Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 28.00 under the IQM model: 3.29%

EV -7.95%Edge -0.284%Kelly -0.294%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDolphins (Local) ▼North Queensland Cowboys (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97% NM 63.48%EV -7.95% E -5.48% K -17.67% G +0.000%2.77I 36.10% NM 33.23%EV -7.95% E -2.87% K -4.49% G +0.000%28.00I 3.57% NM 3.29%EV -7.95% E -0.284% K -0.294% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 05:09
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42% NM 63.74%EV -9.86% E -6.94% K -23.47% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.33%EV -6.95% E -2.48% K -3.86% G +0.000%23.00I 4.35% NM 3.94%EV -24.39% E -1.06% K -1.11% G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-08 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46% NM 62.37%EV -12.39% E -8.98% K -32.62% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 33.10%EV -13.60% E -5.23% K -8.50% G +0.000%19.00I 5.26% NM 4.53%EV -37.54% E -1.98% K -2.09% G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-08 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99% NM 62.68%EV -13.03% E -9.51% K -35.22% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 33.03%EV -13.60% E -5.23% K -8.50% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.29%EV -34.25% E -1.71% K -1.80% G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-08 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
SportsBet1.48I 67.57% NM 64.34%2.67I 37.45% NM 35.66%5.0%2026-07-08 05:00