The School of Odds

Dolphins v Cronulla Sutherland Sharks

2026-07-11 05:00 — NRL

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

15 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Dolphins (Local)

1.4867.57%Min
1.5464.78%Mean
1.5464.94%Median
1.6261.73%Max
57.74%1.732Min
60.24%1.660Max
59.30%1.686Mean
59.56%1.679Median
59.30%1.686IQM
59.13%1.691Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.62 under the IQM model: 59.30%

EV -3.93%Edge -2.43%Kelly -6.34%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Visit)

2.2544.44%Min
2.4441.05%Mean
2.5040.08%Median
2.5040.00%Max
36.14%2.767Min
37.98%2.633Max
36.87%2.712Mean
36.84%2.715Median
36.87%2.712IQM
36.96%2.705Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.50 under the IQM model: 36.87%

EV -7.81%Edge -3.13%Kelly -5.21%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

20.005.00%Min
22.004.55%Mean
20.005.00%Median
29.003.45%Max
3.18%31.478Min
4.68%21.346Max
3.83%26.141Mean
3.60%27.788Median
3.83%26.141IQM
3.90%25.614Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 29.00 under the IQM model: 3.83%

EV +10.94%Edge +0.377%Kelly +0.391%Growth +0.043%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDolphins (Local)Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Visit)Draw ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94% NM 59.82%EV -8.68% E -5.63% K -16.07% G +0.000%2.49I 40.16% NM 37.00%EV -8.18% E -3.29% K -5.49% G +0.000%29.00I 3.45% NM 3.18%EV +10.94% E +0.377% K +0.391% G +0.043%8.5%2026-07-05 08:30
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67% NM 60.24%EV -11.05% E -7.37% K -22.10% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.14%EV -7.81% E -3.13% K -5.21% G +0.000%25.00I 4.00% NM 3.61%EV -4.37% E -0.175% K -0.182% G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-05 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94% NM 58.87%EV -8.68% E -5.63% K -16.07% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.01%EV -9.66% E -3.94% K -6.66% G +0.000%22.00I 4.55% NM 4.12%EV -15.84% E -0.720% K -0.754% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-05 08:35
Betsson1.62I 61.73% NM 57.84%EV -3.93% E -2.43% K -6.34% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.48%EV -7.81% E -3.13% K -5.21% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.68%EV -23.49% E -1.17% K -1.24% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 13:55
NordicBet1.62I 61.73% NM 57.84%EV -3.93% E -2.43% K -6.34% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.48%EV -7.81% E -3.13% K -5.21% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.68%EV -23.49% E -1.17% K -1.24% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 13:55
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52% NM 58.91%EV -8.08% E -5.22% K -14.70% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.52%EV -7.81% E -3.13% K -5.21% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.57%EV -23.49% E -1.17% K -1.24% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 08:34
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67% NM 57.90%EV -11.05% E -7.37% K -22.10% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 37.76%EV -15.19% E -6.60% K -11.68% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.34%EV -23.49% E -1.17% K -1.24% G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-05 08:35
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57% NM 57.74%EV -12.24% E -8.27% K -25.49% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 37.98%EV -17.03% E -7.57% K -13.63% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.27%EV -23.49% E -1.17% K -1.24% G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-05 08:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Neds1.52I 65.79%2.55I 39.22%5.0%2026-07-05 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%2.55I 39.22%5.0%2026-07-05 08:30
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%2.35I 42.55%5.1%2026-07-05 09:55
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%2.37I 42.19%5.1%2026-07-05 10:05
TAB1.50I 66.67%2.60I 38.46%5.1%2026-07-05 08:29
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%2.45I 40.82%5.3%2026-07-03 07:50
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%2.40I 41.67%5.8%2026-07-05 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%2.40I 41.67%5.8%2026-07-05 12:34
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%2.40I 41.67%5.8%2026-07-05 12:34
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%2.40I 41.67%5.8%2026-07-05 12:35
Casumo1.56I 64.10%2.40I 41.67%5.8%2026-07-05 12:34
Unibet1.56I 64.10%2.40I 41.67%5.8%2026-07-05 12:39
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%2.40I 41.67%5.8%2026-07-05 12:40
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%2.38I 42.02%6.5%2026-07-05 12:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%2.12I 47.17%45.2%2026-07-05 08:30