Language:English
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks v South Sydney Rabbitohs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Local)
assuming max odds 1.22
South Sydney Rabbitohs (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.90
Draw
assuming max odds 42.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Local): 76.72%; South Sydney Rabbitohs (Visit): 20.20%; Draw: 3.08%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 32.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 42.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.46%.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.59%EV -11.77%E -10.24%K -78.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -11.13%E -2.53%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 42.00I 2.38%NM 2.12%EV +29.46%E +0.702%K +0.719%G +0.212% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 03:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -13.15%E -3.06%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.32%EV +23.30%E +0.582%K +0.597%G +0.139% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 03:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.05%EV -9.47%E -8.03%K -52.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -4.06%E -0.855%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.56%EV +10.97%E +0.305%K +0.313%G +0.034% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 03:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -10.24%E -8.75%K -60.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -1.03%E -0.210%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 2.87%EV -1.36%E -0.043%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 04:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.99%EV -12.54%E -11.00%K -89.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -4.06%E -0.855%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.29%EV -16.77%E -0.621%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-02 03:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.50%EV -14.07%E -12.57%K -117.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -9.11%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.21%EV -16.77%E -0.621%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-02 03:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.10%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.09%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.71%EV -22.94%E -0.918%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 03:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.10%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.09%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.71%EV -22.94%E -0.918%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 03:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.35%EV -7.94%E -6.61%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -13.15%E -3.06%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.62%EV -22.94%E -0.918%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 13:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-02 04:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 03:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 03:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 03:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 03:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 03:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 03:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 03:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 03:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 02:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 03:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 02:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 02:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 04:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 03:59 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.