The School of OddsCronulla Sutherland Sharks v Newcastle Knights
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Local)
Odds
1.5664.10%Min
1.6062.60%Mean
1.6062.70%Median
1.6460.98%Max
Consensus probabilities
54.68%1.829Min
56.18%1.780Max
56.18%1.780Mean
56.18%1.780Median
56.18%1.780IQM
56.18%1.780Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.64 under the IQM model: 56.18%
EV -7.87%Edge -4.80%Kelly -12.29%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Newcastle Knights (Visit)
Odds
2.0548.78%Min
2.1646.35%Mean
2.1546.51%Median
2.2843.86%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.41%2.475Min
41.61%2.403Max
40.41%2.475Mean
40.41%2.475Median
40.41%2.475IQM
40.41%2.475Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.28 under the IQM model: 40.41%
EV -7.87%Edge -3.45%Kelly -6.15%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
23.004.35%Min
24.754.04%Mean
24.504.08%Median
27.003.70%Max
Consensus probabilities
3.41%29.306Min
3.76%26.602Max
3.41%29.306Mean
3.41%29.306Median
3.41%29.306IQM
3.41%29.306Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 27.00 under the IQM model: 3.41%
EV -7.87%Edge -0.291%Kelly -0.303%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Local) ▼ | Newcastle Knights (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98% NM 56.18%EV -7.87% E -4.80% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86% NM 40.41%EV -7.87% E -3.45% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70% NM 3.41%EV -7.87% E -0.291% K -0.303% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-08 04:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 55.60%EV -8.99% E -5.55% K -14.50% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 40.94%EV -11.10% E -5.05% K -9.25% G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85% NM 3.46%EV -11.28% E -0.434% K -0.451% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-08 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 55.07%EV -11.80% E -7.52% K -20.70% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 41.17%EV -15.14% E -7.21% K -13.76% G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35% NM 3.76%EV -21.52% E -0.935% K -0.978% G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-07-08 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10% NM 54.68%EV -12.36% E -7.92% K -22.07% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 41.61%EV -17.16% E -8.37% K -16.34% G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35% NM 3.71%EV -21.52% E -0.935% K -0.978% G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-07-08 04:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 04:45 |