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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks v Gold Coast Titans

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 06:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Local)

Prediction 74.83%1.34fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -9.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.20%74.88%75.05%75.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.271.271.3080.00%78.53%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gold Coast Titans (Visit)

Prediction 25.17%3.97fair odd
EV +0.688%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.229%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.10%25.12%24.95%26.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.763.704.0028.17%26.63%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Local): 74.83%; Gold Coast Titans (Visit): 25.17%. For Gold Coast Titans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.688%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet365 (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.97%E -3.91%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.688%E +0.172%K +0.229%G +0.002%3.7%2026-03-07 03:51
PlayUp🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.97%E -3.91%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.83%E -0.469%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 06:00
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.72%E -4.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.83%E -0.469%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 05:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.72%E -4.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 06:00
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.72%E -4.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.09%E -0.802%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 05:25
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.97%E -3.91%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -3.84%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.72%E -4.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 04:55
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.72%E -4.54%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 04:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.47%E -5.17%K -25.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.72%E -2.10%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 06:00
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.22%E -3.30%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 05:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.22%E -3.30%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 04:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.22%E -3.30%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 04:00
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.22%E -3.30%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 03:59
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.22%E -3.30%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 04:00
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.22%E -3.30%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 04:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.22%E -3.30%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 04:00
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.22%E -3.30%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 03:59
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.97%E -3.91%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 05:04
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.97%E -3.91%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 05:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.72%E -2.10%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 05:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-03-07 05:24

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%5.8%2026-03-07 05:30
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%5.8%2026-03-07 05:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.47%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.74%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.79%8.7%2026-03-07 05:15
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%9.1%2026-03-07 05:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%9.3%2026-03-03 07:25
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%9.3%2026-03-03 07:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.23%10.5%2026-03-07 05:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.64%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.49%11.3%2026-03-03 07:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.32%11.6%2026-03-07 05:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 71.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.42%22.00I 4.55%NM 3.94%15.4%2026-03-07 05:24