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Canterbury Bulldogs v Wests Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 09:36 UTC

Final: Canterbury Bulldogs 32–0 Wests Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Canterbury Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 61.86%1.62fair odd
EV -6.59%
Edge -4.37%
Kelly -12.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.71%61.66%61.86%62.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.451.5169.93%68.18%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wests Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 33.94%2.95fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -0.831%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.98%33.93%33.94%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.652.9040.00%37.17%37.74%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 4.20%23.79fair odd
EV +26.10%
Edge +0.870%
Kelly +0.900%
Growth +0.235%

assuming max odds 30.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.01%4.41%4.20%6.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0021.3320.0030.006.67%4.69%5.00%3.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -6.59%E -4.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.96%EV -13.12%E -5.12%K -8.41%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.07%EV +26.10%E +0.870%K +0.900%G +0.235%8.6%2026-07-18 09:30
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -10.31%E -7.11%K -22.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -11.76%E -4.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.01%EV +26.10%E +0.870%K +0.900%G +0.235%10.8%2026-07-18 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.70%EV -10.31%E -7.11%K -22.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -11.76%E -4.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.89%EV -3.32%E -0.145%K -0.151%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 09:35
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.56%EV -9.07%E -6.17%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.60%EV -15.93%E -0.797%K -0.839%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 09:34
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.13%EV -10.31%E -7.11%K -22.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.50%EV -15.93%E -0.797%K -0.839%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-15 15:49
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%EV -10.92%E -7.59%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -10.06%E -3.80%K -6.10%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.46%EV -15.93%E -0.797%K -0.839%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 09:34
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.71%EV -11.54%E -8.07%K -26.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -15.15%E -6.06%K -10.10%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.57%EV -20.14%E -1.06%K -1.12%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-18 09:35
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.21%E -4.81%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -1.58%E -0.545%K -0.831%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -36.95%E -2.46%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 09:35
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.21%E -4.81%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -1.58%E -0.545%K -0.831%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -36.95%E -2.46%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-07-18 09:35
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%3.4%2026-07-18 09:30
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%4.0%2026-07-18 09:34
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%5.1%2026-07-18 09:25
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-07-18 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-07-18 09:35
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-07-18 09:35
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-07-18 09:10
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%5.1%2026-07-18 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%5.1%2026-07-18 09:30
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%5.1%2026-07-18 09:30
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%5.1%2026-07-18 09:30
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%5.1%2026-07-18 09:30
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%5.2%2026-07-18 09:30
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%5.3%2026-07-18 09:34
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%5.3%2026-07-18 09:35
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%6.0%2026-07-18 09:30
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%6.0%2026-07-18 09:30
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%6.0%2026-07-18 09:30
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%7.6%2026-07-18 09:35