The School of Odds

Canterbury Bulldogs v Wests Tigers

2026-07-18 09:35 — NRL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

2 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Canterbury Bulldogs (Local)

1.3574.07%Min
1.3972.07%Mean
1.3872.46%Median
1.4469.44%Max
63.24%1.581Min
64.43%1.552Max
63.78%1.568Mean
63.78%1.568Median
63.78%1.568IQM
63.78%1.568Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.44 under the IQM model: 63.78%

EV -8.15%Edge -5.66%Kelly -18.53%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Wests Tigers (Visit)

2.6537.74%Min
2.7336.63%Mean
2.7136.90%Median
2.8535.09%Max
31.65%3.160Min
33.16%3.016Max
33.16%3.016Mean
33.16%3.016Median
33.16%3.016IQM
33.16%3.016Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.85 under the IQM model: 33.16%

EV -5.50%Edge -1.93%Kelly -2.97%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

20.005.00%Min
23.254.30%Mean
21.504.65%Median
30.003.33%Max
3.06%32.664Min
4.30%23.253Max
3.06%32.664Mean
3.06%32.664Median
3.06%32.664IQM
3.06%32.664Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 30.00 under the IQM model: 3.06%

EV -8.15%Edge -0.272%Kelly -0.281%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCanterbury Bulldogs (Local) ▼Wests Tigers (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44% NM 63.78%EV -8.15% E -5.66% K -18.53% G +0.000%2.77I 36.10% NM 33.16%EV -8.15% E -2.94% K -4.61% G +0.000%30.00I 3.33% NM 3.06%EV -8.15% E -0.272% K -0.281% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-08 13:14
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43% NM 64.43%EV -10.71% E -7.65% K -26.77% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 31.65%EV -5.50% E -1.93% K -2.97% G +0.000%23.00I 4.35% NM 3.92%EV -29.59% E -1.29% K -1.34% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-08 19:45
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53% NM 63.24%EV -13.26% E -9.75% K -36.83% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 32.46%EV -12.13% E -4.58% K -7.35% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.30%EV -38.77% E -1.94% K -2.04% G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-08 19:44
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07% NM 63.41%EV -13.90% E -10.29% K -39.70% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 32.31%EV -12.13% E -4.58% K -7.35% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.28%EV -38.77% E -1.94% K -2.04% G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-08 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
SportsBet1.42I 70.42% NM 67.05%2.89I 34.60% NM 32.95%5.0%2026-07-08 04:54
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%6.1%2026-07-08 09:45