The School of Odds

Canterbury Bulldogs v Gold Coast Titans

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 05:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Canterbury Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -30.30%
Kelly -43.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%0.00%0.00%28.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.303.303.3030.30%30.30%30.30%30.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Gold Coast Titans (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -74.63%
Kelly -294.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.12%0.00%0.00%71.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.341.341.341.3474.63%74.63%74.63%74.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%4.9%2026-07-05 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.