The School of Odds

Canterbury Bulldogs v Canberra Raiders

2026-07-11 07:30 — NRL

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

16 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Canterbury Bulldogs (Local)

Odds
1.4668.49%Min
1.5365.25%Mean
1.5464.94%Median
1.6062.50%Max
Consensus probabilities
58.55%1.708Min
59.95%1.668Max
58.88%1.698Mean
58.91%1.697Median
58.88%1.698IQM
58.88%1.698Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.60 under the IQM model: 58.88%

EV -5.79%Edge -3.62%Kelly -9.64%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Canberra Raiders (Visit)

Odds
2.3542.55%Min
2.4840.26%Mean
2.4940.24%Median
2.6038.46%Max
Consensus probabilities
35.79%2.794Min
37.82%2.644Max
37.07%2.698Mean
37.44%2.671Median
37.07%2.698IQM
36.95%2.706Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 37.07%

EV -3.62%Edge -1.39%Kelly -2.26%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
18.005.56%Min
21.134.73%Mean
19.505.13%Median
28.003.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
3.29%30.401Min
5.22%19.173Max
4.05%24.721Mean
3.65%27.434Median
4.05%24.721IQM
4.17%24.001Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 28.00 under the IQM model: 4.05%

EV +13.26%Edge +0.474%Kelly +0.491%Growth +0.065%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCanterbury Bulldogs (Local)Canberra Raiders (Visit)Draw ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52% NM 59.42%EV -8.73% E -5.63% K -15.87% G +0.000%2.47I 40.49% NM 37.29%EV -8.43% E -3.41% K -5.74% G +0.000%28.00I 3.57% NM 3.29%EV +13.26% E +0.474% K +0.491% G +0.065%8.6%2026-07-05 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52% NM 58.55%EV -8.73% E -5.63% K -15.87% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 37.82%EV -11.03% E -4.60% K -7.88% G +0.000%25.00I 4.00% NM 3.63%EV +1.13% E +0.045% K +0.047% G +0.001%10.2%2026-07-05 08:05
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67% NM 59.95%EV -11.67% E -7.78% K -23.35% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 35.97%EV -7.32% E -2.93% K -4.88% G +0.000%22.00I 4.55% NM 4.09%EV -11.01% E -0.500% K -0.524% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 07:55
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36% NM 59.65%EV -9.91% E -6.48% K -18.69% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 35.79%EV -5.47% E -2.14% K -3.53% G +0.000%20.00I 5.00% NM 4.56%EV -19.10% E -0.955% K -1.01% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 07:55
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03% NM 59.18%EV -13.44% E -9.14% K -28.60% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 36.25%EV -11.03% E -4.60% K -7.88% G +0.000%19.00I 5.26% NM 4.58%EV -23.14% E -1.22% K -1.29% G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-05 07:55
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49% NM 58.89%EV -14.03% E -9.61% K -30.50% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 36.59%EV -12.88% E -5.48% K -9.54% G +0.000%19.00I 5.26% NM 4.53%EV -23.14% E -1.22% K -1.29% G +0.000%16.3%2026-07-05 12:35
NordicBet1.60I 62.50% NM 58.68%EV -5.79% E -3.62% K -9.64% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.11%EV -3.62% E -1.39% K -2.26% G +0.000%18.00I 5.56% NM 5.22%EV -27.19% E -1.51% K -1.60% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 13:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50% NM 58.68%EV -5.79% E -3.62% K -9.64% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.11%EV -3.62% E -1.39% K -2.26% G +0.000%18.00I 5.56% NM 5.22%EV -27.19% E -1.51% K -1.60% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Neds1.53I 65.36%2.55I 39.22%4.6%2026-07-03 03:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%2.55I 39.22%4.6%2026-07-03 04:00
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%2.48I 40.32%5.3%2026-07-05 03:35
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%2.48I 40.32%5.3%2026-07-05 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%2.48I 40.32%5.3%2026-07-05 12:34
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%2.48I 40.32%5.3%2026-07-05 12:34
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%2.48I 40.32%5.3%2026-07-05 12:35
Casumo1.54I 64.94%2.48I 40.32%5.3%2026-07-05 12:34
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%2.45I 40.82%5.3%2026-07-03 08:00
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%2.45I 40.82%5.3%2026-07-05 10:00
Unibet1.53I 65.36%2.48I 40.32%5.7%2026-07-05 12:39
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%2.48I 40.32%5.7%2026-07-05 12:40
TAB1.53I 65.36%2.45I 40.82%6.2%2026-07-04 00:29
PlayUp1.53I 65.36%2.45I 40.82%6.2%2026-07-04 22:05
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%2.45I 40.82%6.2%2026-07-05 12:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%1.02I 98.04%96.1%2026-07-04 08:00