The School of Odds

Canberra Raiders v South Sydney Rabbitohs

2026-07-18 05:00 — NRL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

2 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: Canberra Raiders (Local)

1.6261.73%Min
1.6660.33%Mean
1.6560.42%Median
1.7058.82%Max
52.84%1.893Min
54.16%1.846Max
54.16%1.846Mean
54.16%1.846Median
54.16%1.846IQM
54.16%1.846Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.70 under the IQM model: 54.16%

EV -7.93%Edge -4.66%Kelly -11.33%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: South Sydney Rabbitohs (Visit)

2.0050.00%Min
2.0748.37%Mean
2.0548.78%Median
2.1746.08%Max
42.43%2.357Min
43.06%2.322Max
42.43%2.357Mean
42.43%2.357Median
42.43%2.357IQM
42.43%2.357Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.17 under the IQM model: 42.43%

EV -7.93%Edge -3.65%Kelly -6.78%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

21.004.76%Min
23.254.30%Mean
22.504.44%Median
27.003.70%Max
3.41%29.325Min
4.10%24.383Max
3.41%29.325Mean
3.41%29.325Median
3.41%29.325IQM
3.41%29.325Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 27.00 under the IQM model: 3.41%

EV -7.93%Edge -0.294%Kelly -0.305%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCanberra Raiders (Local) ▼South Sydney Rabbitohs (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 54.16%EV -7.93% E -4.66% K -11.33% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 42.43%EV -7.93% E -3.65% K -6.78% G +0.000%27.00I 3.70% NM 3.41%EV -7.93% E -0.294% K -0.305% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 05:15
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52% NM 53.48%EV -9.01% E -5.36% K -13.25% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.78%EV -10.90% E -5.19% K -9.91% G +0.000%24.00I 4.17% NM 3.74%EV -18.16% E -0.757% K -0.789% G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-08 05:14
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35% NM 52.84%EV -11.72% E -7.19% K -18.60% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 43.06%EV -15.14% E -7.57% K -15.14% G +0.000%21.00I 4.76% NM 4.10%EV -28.39% E -1.35% K -1.42% G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-08 05:15
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73% NM 52.99%EV -12.26% E -7.57% K -19.77% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 42.92%EV -15.14% E -7.57% K -15.14% G +0.000%21.00I 4.76% NM 4.09%EV -28.39% E -1.35% K -1.42% G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-08 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
SportsBet1.72I 58.14% NM 55.32%2.13I 46.95% NM 44.68%5.1%2026-07-08 04:50
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17% NM 55.99%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.01%5.7%2026-07-08 05:15