Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Canberra Raiders v New Zealand Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (0 in analysis )

Canberra Raiders (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -40.98%

Kelly -69.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.00%0.00%0.00%39.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.442.442.442.4440.98%40.98%40.98%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd

EV -100.00%

Edge -64.10%

Kelly -178.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.00%0.00%0.00%61.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.561.561.5664.10%64.10%64.10%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Canberra Raiders (Local): 0.00%; New Zealand Warriors (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%	5.1%	2026-07-05 12:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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