賠率學校

Canberra Raiders v Melbourne Storm

開賽時間: 2026-04-17 08:01 UTC

最終賽果: Canberra Raiders 26–22 Melbourne Storm

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

9 家博彩公司 (4 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:IQM

Canberra Raiders (主隊)

預測 42.89%2.33公平賠率
EV -3.50%
優勢 -1.55%
Kelly -2.80%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.25

博彩公司預測分布
41.86%42.90%42.89%44.34%MIN平均值中位數MAX
賠率分布
1.992.122.102.2550.25%47.19%47.62%44.44%MIN平均值中位數MAX

Melbourne Storm (客隊)

預測 53.07%1.88公平賠率
EV -5.53%
優勢 -3.10%
Kelly -7.09%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.78

博彩公司預測分布
52.11%52.95%53.07%54.00%MIN平均值中位數MAX
賠率分布
1.651.721.731.7860.61%58.21%57.80%56.18%MIN平均值中位數MAX

和局

預測 4.03%24.79公平賠率
EV +8.93%
優勢 +0.331%
Kelly +0.343%
成長率 +0.031%

假設最高賠率為 27.00

博彩公司預測分布
3.32%4.15%4.03%5.23%MIN平均值中位數MAX
賠率分布
18.0021.8921.0027.005.56%4.57%4.76%3.70%MIN平均值中位數MAX

有 22 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (9 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.68%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.00%EV -11.90%E -7.17%K -18.02%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.32%EV +8.93%E +0.331%K +0.343%G +0.031%11.6%2026-04-17 08:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.68%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.00%EV -11.90%E -7.17%K -18.02%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.32%EV +8.93%E +0.331%K +0.343%G +0.031%11.6%2026-04-17 08:00
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.34%EV -10.79%E -5.19%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.11%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV +4.89%E +0.188%K +0.196%G +0.010%8.4%2026-04-17 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.32%EV -15.28%E -0.728%K -0.764%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 08:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.32%EV -15.28%E -0.728%K -0.764%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 07:59
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.73%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.49%EV -19.31%E -0.966%K -1.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 07:59
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.28%EV -14.65%E -7.36%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.19%EV -12.43%E -7.53%K -19.12%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.53%EV -23.35%E -1.23%K -1.30%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-17 07:59
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.09%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.23%EV -27.38%E -1.52%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 08:00
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.53%E -3.10%K -7.09%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.23%EV -27.38%E -1.52%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 07:59
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (22)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-04-17 08:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%3.8%2026-04-17 07:59
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%3.9%2026-04-17 07:59
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%4.0%2026-04-17 08:00
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%4.2%2026-04-17 07:59
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%4.3%2026-04-17 07:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%5.0%2026-04-17 07:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%5.0%2026-04-17 08:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-04-17 07:59
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-04-17 07:59
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-04-17 07:59
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-04-17 07:59
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-04-17 07:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-04-17 08:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-04-17 08:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-04-17 07:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-04-17 07:59
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-04-17 08:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-04-17 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-04-17 08:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%5.8%2026-04-17 08:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%5.8%2026-04-17 07:58